Showing posts with label epf. Show all posts
Showing posts with label epf. Show all posts

Tuesday, April 21, 2015

HfW : EPF to cover country’s financing gaps?

This was made public in The Sun Daily (here)

PETALING JAYA: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Research said there have been concerns whether the Employee Provident Fund (EPF) will be called upon to cover financing gaps due to a wider fiscal deficit, lower Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas) dividends and a cash-strapped 1Malaysia Development Bhd (1MDB).

"Concerns are nevertheless mounting that with a wider fiscal deficit, potentially lower Petronas dividends and a cash-strapped 1MDB, the EPF will be called upon to forsake returns, cease its foreign diversification and cover the financing gaps of government-linked entities," its Asean economist Chua Hak Bin said in a report yesterday.

"That would be a huge setback for the EPF's commendable track record," he added.
Chua highlighted the EPF's omnipresence with funds of RM637 billion (US$174 billion) and accounting for 50% of MGS and 13% of the stock markets.

Rule changes are moreover in favour of increasing contributions and reducing withdrawals.
EPF inflows are a sufficiently large magnitude to provide some support to both the domestic bond and equity market, as foreign portfolio inflows dwindle.

EPF net contribution flow was about RM23 billion in 2014. Total foreign portfolio investment registered a net outflow of RM9.6 billion in 2014, although most of the portfolio outflows were concentrated in Q4 (RM20.6 billion). This was when oil prices collapsed, raising concerns over the impact on the fiscal and current account balances.

Foreign holdings of Malaysian Government Securities (MGS) have however been relatively resilient. While foreign holdings fell RM8.7 billion over July to Dec last year, they have risen some RM6.1 bilion in Jan-Mar this year.

However Chua said, there have also been concerns whether the EPF's heavy presence will depress yields on MGS and boost stock market valuations.

"Despite underperforming, the Kuala Lumpur Composite Index's (KLCI) still trades at about 17 times price-to-earnings ratio, higher than valuations on Singapore, Hong Kong, Thailand or Korea stocks," he said, adding the EPF's captive holding has also reduced the KLCI velocity.

Chua said poor liquidity in turn has hurt trading and investment interest, adding that Malaysia will issue RM5.5 billion of its 5.5-year bonds.

With total investment funds of RM637 billion at the end 2014, EPF is ranked seventh in the world when measured against the size of Malaysia's economy, in which EPF is ranked below Japan, Korea, China and Singapore, but above India and Taiwan.

Meanwhile, as a share of gross domestic product (GDP), Malaysia's EPF is the third largest after Norway and Singapore.

The research house expects EPF's fund inflows will remain large, reflecting both favourable demographics with a rising labor force and wages.

It noted that net EPF contributions increased 28.5% to RM23.3 billion in 2014, about RM1.9 billion per month, while active membership grew 2% last year, over 10% since 2010.

"We expect EPF fund inflows to remain high over the next decade given the growing working-age population and favorable demographics."

EPF's assets grew by 7.9% in 2014, in which it has increased the proportion of risky assets to sustain returns.

Compared to a decade ago, EPF has increased its portfolio share of equities to 42%, while reducing the share of MGS to 26% and money market instruments.

EPF also has increased its foreign allocation significantly to 23%, raising overall returns and reducing over-concentration risk on domestic assets.

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Monday, February 2, 2015

Utilising EPF savings do nothing to help those in debt

How about living within your means instead of borrowing money so you can lead a lavish life you can ill afford and which will plunge you into further debt?

Source here

I refer to Hafidz Baharom’s piece, “Time to really help individuals in debt”. I must say there are many points on which I disagree with him. I do agree that many people, especially the young, are in debt. However I disagree that using their EPF savings or giving them more loans is the way out of it.

For goodness sake, EPF is not a magic wand to solve all our financial woes. Over the years we have allowed EPF withdrawals to buy houses, computers, invest in unit trusts and for medical treatment. Now we even want to use EPF savings for credit card debt settlements?
If we continue with this trend, there will be nothing left for retirement. Please, are you fellows expecting the government to come to your rescue when you are old and tattered and with nothing in your savings account?

Frankly, I am quite tired of hearing ways and means to try to get people out of debt. We should first ask why they are in debt. Should we not be addressing this and asking what can be done to avoid falling into debt?

Debt is an “income-expenditure” issue. If our income is too low, we either find ways to increase our income or reduce our expenditure by changing our lifestyle.

We simply should not borrow money to sustain our lifestyle. If we do that, we can never get out of our debt. In fact, our situation can only get worse. Even if EPF withdrawals are allowed, in no time the savings will be all gone because our income and expenditure “equation” would have remained unsustainable and untenable.

Despite slow income growth among many Malaysians, I believe many incidents of debt are due to poor financial discipline, lack of education in financial management and unsustainable lifestyles.

Many cannot differentiate “needs” from “wants”, the essential from the non-essential and the important from the unimportant. Herein lies the genesis of their problems.

You be the judge if I say it is not necessary to borrow excessively just to get married (i.e. to spend on the elaborate ceremony). It is also not necessary to change your handphone every year; eat in fanciful restaurants every week; or go for holidays every year. Worst yet, is to borrow to go for holidays or to buy branded goods.

Being frugal is not a sin, more so if your income is small. Wake up a little early. Packing a homemade lunch before you go to work is one good way to save on food costs. Bring along boiled water from home. These measures not only help you save, they are healthier options too. Quit smoking and drinking alcohol. These are expensive addictions which eat up a big chunk of your income and they have brought you nothing good in return. Please don’t argue that smoking and drinking help ease tension. No, it doesn’t; it only adds to your financial woes and wrecks your health in the process.

I know what some of you are thinking – life would be so boring and meaningless. But then it is far better to be debt free than being chased after by creditors day and night.

Lifestyles must be based on affordability. Delaying gratification is a virtue. Everything has its time. There is a time to sow, there is a time to reap.

Hafidz Baharom, please don’t preach adventurism here.

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Sunday, January 11, 2015

10 Things To Consider Before You Hit Retirement

Point 6,7 and 9 are reasons why you need to start investing in mutual funds for long term investment.

Source here

You have been working your whole life, saving for your retirement. Most of us have millions of ideas about what it’ll be like when it finally comes to the moment where we break away from the 9-to-5 rut. However, with a few more years to go before the day finally arrives, it’s time to take serious action, and get things in order for your golden years ahead.

Most of us would want to achieve financial freedom by then and having not to worry about money any further. To ensure everything is in order when your last conventional pay cheque comes your way, here are 10 things you need to do:

1. Decide on your goal

Many a times when we plan for our retirement, we don’t have a clear picture of how we really want to retire. Do we want to retire at a small and quiet village, outside of town, or perhaps stay in a small(ish) condominium in town, where everything is within walking distance?

By this time, with just a few years to your retirement, you should really have a clear idea whether you want to upsize or downsize your lifestyle post-employment.

The first question you ought to ask yourself is what you want after you retire. Travel around the world and eventually, retire at one of the Caribbean islands? Whatever your goal is, you need to align your retirement plan towards achieving it.

2. List down your obligations

Before embarking on your adventure after retirement, you should consider any financial obligations you may have that can adversely affect your finances after employment.

Do you still have dependents (parents or children) you have to support even after you retire? Will your child(ren) still be in college, with hefty tuition fees coming your way every few months?

How about your lifestyle? If you have planned for your retirement optimally, you should not have to downsize your lifestyle too much. The key word here is sustainability. You should have a clear idea of how much you need every month during your retirement, and how long your retirement fund will last.

3. Clear your debt

Ideally, you should have cleared all your debts before you hit retirement. By clearing your debts, you improve your net worth and credit rating which might be helpful should you need to take another loan in the future.

Credit card debts are usually the first priority to be cleared off due to its high interest rates, followed by personal loans and car loans. There has been an ongoing debate on whether home loans should be cleared off sooner than needed for the peace of mind of being debt-free. If you think paying off home loan last is a better idea, perhaps you should look into the option of refinancing your mortgage.

Currently, Malaysia’s base lending rate is at 6.85%. Comparing with the historical rates, it might seem to be a little high too high to refinance your mortgage. But consider this: after retirement, you’ll lose your primary source of income (for some, only source of income) and your ability to take up a new loan diminishes.

If you have to refinance your mortgage by then, banks might quote you a higher rate, require a guarantor, or simply reject your application. Perhaps it might be a good idea to lock in a fixed mortgage rate to avoid being exposed to interest rate volatility in times of economic uncertainty.

4. Preserve your assets

When we are still earning an income, we mostly focus on accumulating assets. However, when retirement hits you, more focus should be put on preserving your existing assets.

A person may own multiple properties and be worth millions of Ringgit, but he or she may not be able to even afford lunch! In finance, two terms arise: solvency is the ability to meet its long-term ( more than two  years) financial obligations, and liquidity is the ability to meet short-term (less than two years) obligations by converting assets quickly into cash.

In other words, how we preserve our assets depends on our ability to sustain our short-term needs (daily expenses and outflow) without needing to liquidate (force sale) our assets. Consolidating your assets by consulting wealth management and financial planning advisories may be a good idea to have clearer view of your current financial health and have more control in monitoring and preserving your assets.

5. Create or update your will

To prevent your family from exploding into those family feuds infamously depicted in Hong Kong soap operas, updating your will (or create one if you don’t have one yet) is essential. Jokes aside, it is important to have estate planning so that you can be assured that your family is being taken care off  in the manner of your preference.

Having a will doesn’t just ensure your hard-earned assets are distributed properly and rightfully, according to your wishes, it also helps your family go through the process quicker and with greater ease. Remember, avoid hassles by having different wills for assets in different countries and jurisdictions.

6. Review your investment portfolio

As you retire, you would require a substantial steady stream of income to replace your previous conventional income that takes care of your daily expenses and other obligations.

As result, your capacity or holding power of your investment is limited. Perhaps toning down your investment appetite from aggressive high capital growth equities to a more conservative and passive, dividend paying funds such as bonds or government securities might be a good idea. Reviewing your risk tolerance is essential to sustain good cash flow and preserve your assets.

Here are some financial mistakes you should avoid before you hit retirement.

 7. Establish passive income

If the retirement you envisioned for yourself is one where you stop working completely, it becomes even more crucial for you to establish at least one source of passive income, which will be your new primary source of income.

As an alternative to your investments, you can also create another stream of income by working part-time or taking up freelance jobs. For those who have years of professional work experience, they can opt for consulting or an advisory role to other firms or institutions – this may not exactly be ‘passive’ but if it’s something you enjoy doing, it wont feel like a job for sure!

Setting up a mamak or a sundry shop as a small business might also be a good idea (seriously, mamaks rarely fail and typically have healthy profit margins).

8. Healthcare

The unfortunate thing with healthcare is that it becomes more expensive the older we get. Most people give up one their medical card due to the exorbitant price they have to pay — especially in view of the diminishing income after retirement.

Therefore, it is important for one to have a clear idea of their health and fitness level before they hit their golden years. Prevention is certainly better than cure.

Find out if you have any medical conditions that may require substantial amount of money to finance, especially when healthcare cost is escalating to the tune of 12% per annum. Maintain your medical card, review the policy to ensure it is adequate, then set up a budget for rainy days, that could include medical emergencies.

9. Withdraw your EPF

Should you withdraw everything or should you withdraw a set amount regularly? Prematurely withdrawing and depleting your EPF, even if you can, may bring adverse effect to your retirement savings. Unless you have a strong reason or solid financial plan to invest elsewhere that could potentially provide better returns, EPF should be remained untouched and used as a last resort as this will be retirement fund  for the next 10 to 20 years.

If you don’t think your EPF savings enough is adequate to outlive your retirement years, you can consider withdrawing some of the money for selected investments.

10. Continue working

Retirement is really just a phase that everyone goes through. According to the Life After Work survey conducted by HSBC, 22% of Malaysians plan to semi-retire because they need to bridge an income shortfall.

Review your retirement savings before your retirement to have an understanding of whether you stand financially post-employment. Will you be able to live comfortably on that savings, or do you need to continue working to generate income for your golden years?

For some, the idea of not doing anything for next one to two decades may not be conceivable at all! However, the point is to plan for your retirement so semi-retirement is an option and not a means to survive.

We need to start retirement planning as early as possible in order to have a comfortable retirement in years to come. However, planning your retirement is not just about saving money religiously, but also about making the right decisions at the right time to boost your savings.

These 10 steps should be done just a few years before you retire. This will still give you some room to make up for any shortfalls.

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Tuesday, December 16, 2014

FELDA HAS RM10 BILLION CASH!!

'...FELDA's RM10 billion is kept in cash, bonds and with fund managers (including EPF)....'
Source : OutSyed The Box

Tuesday, December 16, 2014

WAHAI PENYAMUN, DENGAR SINI "FELDA HAS RM10 BILLION CASH!!"

I received an interesting phone call last nite. Yup its about Felda. 

Folks there is FELDA (FELDA proper lah). Then there is FGV or Felda Global Ventures Bhd the listed vehicle - whose share price has gone crashing from RM4.55 down to RM2.37. 

Then you also have Felda Investment Corporation which buys properties in London etc. Semua lain-lain ok. So lets choose our way carefully.

I also want to touch on something else. Old issue but worth clarifying. 

I saved a lot of simple kampong people a few hundred million Ringgit when I highlighted in my Blog that the 'Fund' in which they invested was planning to spend their money in a property project in some broken down city in the US.  I blogged about it twice.  I hope you folks can recall.

The CEO and mangement team of that 'Fund', the PM and her husband were all on their way to New York to witness the signing away of the kampong folks' hard earned money.

At the very, very last minute, after my Blog post appeared, that signing ceremony in New York was cancelled.  A few hundred million Ringgits of kampong peoples' money was saved. Alhamdulillah. 

Some bangang bloggers  err..maaf ya UMNO Bloggers  put it out that I was lying about the investment by that Fund. They said there was no such thing.  Well according to the party president  Najib Tun Razak these are bloggers who are paid to write.  So when they get money they willl write  - paid in cash and sometimes paid in kind.

Well I had received first class information about the Fund's planned investment. Their Board had approved the investment.  And in their Board paper their Risk Manager had even recommended against the investment.  I am not saying that I saw the Board paper myself. (Neither am I saying that I did not see the Board paper).  But I am certain of my information.

Then about two days after that Blog post I received a phone call from a close friend who also knows the Chairman of that  Fund quite well. He said that the Chairman wanted  to meet me. Bila?  "Malam ni juga" was the reply. I politely declined.  It really was too short notice and I had my usual plans (meeting other sources and informers  haa haa !!).

Last nite I received another phone call. This time about FELDA. Wild stuff is going on in FELDA.  One Director General of FELDA has been kicked out of his job.  Another DG has taken over.  But now this new DG of FELDA has also been suspended from his job pula. 

What is going on in FELDA? TAKKAN DUA DG BOLEH JADI AGEN ZIONIS BRO?

Two DG's put in the freezer one after the other.

Here is the scoop folks. FELDA has RM10 BILLION IN CASH RESERVES !! And SOMEONE is eyeing it !!

FELDA's RM10 billion is kept in cash, bonds and with fund managers (including EPF). 

While some folks are eyeing this RM10 BILLION, other folks are standing in their way.

This is the reason  (to quite some extent) for the tiffs and struggles going on inside FELDA.

Organisations like FELDA (being government set ups) are protected by layers of red tape and bureaucracy.  To get the money out you need someone to do a paper. Someone has to reccommend the paper. It probably has to be presented to some committee. Then finally, after the committee, it will be presented to the Board.  Many layers. If someone along the way does not agree or puts in a negative remark, it could throw a spanner into the works.

Hence it is important that for the Dawn of the Age of Aquarius, Jupiter must align with Mars and Saturn must click with Pluto.   I think this is what is going on in FELDA right now. Serous alignments and realignments are taking place.

Siapa punya "alignment" tak betul, you can visit Bangsar Tyre Service Center (dekat Syed Restoran - bukan saya punya ok). 

And it all goes up to the 'Kitchen Cabinet'. I was told some more information last nite  tapi takut nanti kena Sedition ke, whatever ke. 

So to all you people out there, lets team up and keep an eye on FELDA's RM10 BILLION in cash reserves.  If we all act together we can really move mountains.  All of us together - Dayak, Kadazan, Melanau, Sulu, Melayu, Cina, India, Mamak, Punjabi (I like to mention the Punjabis), Muslim, Hindu, Christian, Buddhist - everyone.   

All pull together in one direction.  If we do not hang together we will surely hang separately. 

Posted by Syed Akbar Ali at 3:52:00 PM